The mechanisms of protest and revolution have been the subject of theoretical
research for over a century, yet the lack of data has hindered the empirical validation of
conflicting theories.
In this book, the author presents a unique new set of sub-daily data from
over thirty countries and seven civil wars and uses them to test two models of conflict,
the predator-prey model and the competing species model.
The dynamic nature of the data modeling and the novelty of the dataset make
this work a unique contribution to the field of conflict research. Dynamics of Conflict
will help to re-evaluate existing theories and charts a new course towards the formal and
statistical modeling of conflict.
Table of Contents
1 Introduction to the Problem Set 1
2 The Dynamic Relationship Between Protest and Repression in Democratic Countries
13
3 The Dynamics of Protest and Repression in Dictatorships and Democratic Transitions 33
4 Varied Dynamics of Bandwagon Mobilization 51
5 Dynamics and Stability in Civil Wars 65
6 Conclusion: Stability in Conflict 81
Index 87
90 pages, Hardcover